Saturday, May 16 2020

As one who has invested in mutual funds for over 20 years and witnessed not a few bull and bear runs along the way, some thoughts come to mind.

Listen to the various market experts on business channels these days. Talk to experienced investors. Or for that matter, talk to the not-so-experienced ones – a once in a century event like Covid-19, one would imagine, pretty much takes experience out of the equation. Or, does it?

Even if we do not have the experience, there is history to turn to. We have enough and more data from past market crashes and events subsequent thereto, that investors who stay put not only recover their losses, but gain much more.

And for those gutsy enough to invest afresh, they make even better returns since they enter the market close to the multi-year lows.

However, while ‘buy cheap and sell high’ seems obvious, numbers show that investors flock to equity when indices like Nifty rise, and move out when Nifty falls.

In other words, many investors will buy high and sell cheap – and both these events happen when the Nifty or the Sensex start making headlines, leading to a herd mentality.

Investors need to remember that the market moves in cycles – the market will go up and down and up again. (Where else will it go? Where else can it go?)

So buying when the market is on a high may well ensure a low for your investments, before it starts climbing again. And if you enter when the market is at a low, the upside is probably nearer than what most investors would imagine.

C’mon, go against the tide and invest today. You will benefit in the medium and long term.

Tuesday, April 28 2020

As the winding down of the 6 Franklin Templeton mutual fund schemes shakes up Indian mutual fund investors, some food for thought.

Debt funds are not a homogeneous commodity; there are 16 sub-categories of debt mutual funds, from overnight funds to long duration funds. (My view - such fine tuning might just be adding to the complexity, instead of helping prospective investors.)

Take the credit risk category, for example. It seeks to provide higher returns by investing in instruments that carry less than the highest rating (i.e., riskier instruments). Hence, an investor may park 10-20% in such schemes of his total investment in debt funds, not more. The purpose of the credit risk scheme should be to provide a booster dose to his debt portfolio – do not make it the entire meal.

A common misconception often comes into play; equity funds, and equity funds alone are risky; ergo, all debt funds must be safe. Google up debt funds and on basis of the returns alone then, select the top performing fund. The quality of the underlying investments by that fund is almost never looked into. Further, it is rarely verified whether the investments are appropriate – an Ultra Short Duration fund, for example, should not be unduly investing in papers that mature only after a few years.

The price of such ignorance can be serious for any investor; for a senior citizen (to whom a riskier debt fund may be mis-sold), it can be appalling.

So dear debt investors, understand that higher returns in debt are accompanied by higher risk. Please do assess the quality of investments as well as the liquidity thereof. Bear in mind the Franklin debt schemes; between 2015 – 2019, they gave very good returns.

e-wealth-reg
e-wealth-reg